Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, April 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Not a Dime Back 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Modern Era 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 King Deivys 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Munyhungry 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Heat Alert 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Evasive Moves 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Planet 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Thedingoateyobaby 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Breezy Dance 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Treasure Peace 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Wild Girl 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bruno Barber Girl 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sister Eve 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Imperio Azteca 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bitcoin Baby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Megan’s Noel 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Chamita 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Color Crush 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Tomarie 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mo Town Annie 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Melodia 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stay Funny 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Amazing Woo 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bad Advice 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Insisting 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Carnaby 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Stone’s Throw 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Light My Way 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gunman Jayvo 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Fastidious 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Sir Rob Roy 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Chilling Time 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Stillwater Moon 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Sweet Winner 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Uncle Money 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hardy Choice 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Batter Up Bud 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Run Cory Run 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Dance a Dini 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Gurt’s Warrior 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 October Bliss 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Doctor Doom 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Shouldhavebeengone 3.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Milagroso 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nuedorf 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jw’s Third Mischie 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Pardsy 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lord Winsalot 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Brindisi 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 A Dangerous Guy 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Spotted Bull 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Quickening 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Heads Or Tails 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sunday Spirit 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zoppi Fischbein 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Mr. Bogan 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Noneedtoworry 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Real Conviction 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Exclusive Dancer 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 It’s a Pity 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pure Lure 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mia Tosca 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Our Uptown Girl 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Et’s Moon Maiden 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Aegean Sea 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Jeanne Marie 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Snappy Ride 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Shetalkstomuch 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dream Chaser 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Golden Moonlight 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ree Nee’s Six 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Miss M M 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Bustin Down Doors 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Love to Eat 4.50 5 9-1
8 8 Mended We Stand 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Filtered Light 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.