Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Not a Dime Back |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Modern Era |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
King Deivys |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Munyhungry |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heat Alert |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Evasive Moves |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Planet |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thedingoateyobaby |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Breezy Dance |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Treasure Peace |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild Girl |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bruno Barber Girl |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sister Eve |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Imperio Azteca |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bitcoin Baby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Megan’s Noel |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Chamita |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Color Crush |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tomarie |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mo Town Annie |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Melodia |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stay Funny |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amazing Woo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bad Advice |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Insisting |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carnaby |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stone’s Throw |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Light My Way |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gunman Jayvo |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fastidious |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Rob Roy |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chilling Time |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stillwater Moon |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Winner |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Money |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hardy Choice |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Batter Up Bud |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Run Cory Run |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dance a Dini |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gurt’s Warrior |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
October Bliss |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doctor Doom |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shouldhavebeengone |
3.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Milagroso |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Nuedorf |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jw’s Third Mischie |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pardsy |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lord Winsalot |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brindisi |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Dangerous Guy |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spotted Bull |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quickening |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heads Or Tails |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sunday Spirit |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zoppi Fischbein |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Bogan |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noneedtoworry |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Conviction |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Exclusive Dancer |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
It’s a Pity |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Pure Lure |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mia Tosca |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Uptown Girl |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Et’s Moon Maiden |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aegean Sea |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jeanne Marie |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Snappy Ride |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Shetalkstomuch |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dream Chaser |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Moonlight |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ree Nee’s Six |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss M M |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bustin Down Doors |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love to Eat |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mended We Stand |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Filtered Light |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.