Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Marshall | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Chairman | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confusing | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Avro | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Road to Versailles | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back River | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | If You Insist | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparklet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Its Just Money | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanlan | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sehr Schoen | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attestation | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Motor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent and Sinful | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Demanding | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haley’s Honor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scat Girl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Argento | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rhaenyra | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Holiday | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Love Presents | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Strike | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Eyed | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Citori | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Pray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speed Figures | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rat Portage | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fracen Macho | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He Shoots He Wins | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Life | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinetic Stone | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Teddy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junior Hot Shot | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigiloso | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Landing | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Romance | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roar of the Crowd | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Woodstock S.) – Woodstock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Vince | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mansetti | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War of Destiny | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kokomo | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Most Likely | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notorious Gangster | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thundering | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Incoming | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Church and State | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Poulin in O T | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Armstrong | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mascot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Score | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Grey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hunt Master | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Lad | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Old Chestnut | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roi Soleil | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.