Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiberius Mercurius | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peruvian Lucky | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hoodlum | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noahs Ark | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coyote Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Metatron’s Muse | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Am the Game | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where Is Lisa | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable Story | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Pursuit | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mission of Joy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Speech | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neverwalkalone (BRZ) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jill Jitterbug | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vinos Angel | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justifiable Belle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | No Mo Candy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ask Amanda | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Bunny | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Quality | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lou Anna | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Dig | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolt On the Rocks | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sundance Feature | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twirl Around | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Keepsake | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord I Wonder | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laurie’s Secret | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sam’s Treasure | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Outrageously | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Evening News | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carolo Rapido | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forge in Fire | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Mojo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Dream Rye’d | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patrolman | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redfield | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Succession Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sinister Smile | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Sohn | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holster | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classy War | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapakena | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Coast | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skynet | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daiquiri Sommelier | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tun Tavern | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Strategist | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demand | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop Paul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Me Again | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Churning Berni | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashes and Diamonds | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vino Tiempo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halfin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maddienlizzyshonor | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antonia’s Flowers | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plaza Cue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Life Advice | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Waves | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Moon | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angel of Faith | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tizntshelovely | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bread to Run | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faire Plaisir | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Voyage | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hold My Halo | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Smart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Taco Cat Backwards | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Talent Show | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | What If | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Roxelana S. Presented By Lg&e And Ku) – Roxelana S. Presented By Lg&e And Ku
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Bottom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mink’s Palace | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Weekend | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harbor Springs | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moscato | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tripolina | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Non Violence | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miuccia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shepherd | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Dominus | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sergeant Capps | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Studeny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outofpi | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Where Y’at | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Rog | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Berniedott | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outdoor Cat | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evan On Earth | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.