Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
U Better B the Won |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Countess Vronsky |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Betty Pack |
1.20 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Lovin Feelin |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Charmed Dream |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
A Ryder’s Trick |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Broke the Code |
5.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheering for Layla |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cestrand |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Zombo Bombo |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Osage Creek |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bruckner |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Resemblance |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Unions |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bolt Supremacy |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Maximus |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nevada Beach |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fausto |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nation |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rank |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cornhuskerchris |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zabo |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Magaton Man |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Jo’s Curlin |
1.20 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maxville |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Tom |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Titanic Thompson |
2.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Notion |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roxiiesbadboy |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shop Till You Drop |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Isabel Ludlow |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cheeky Gal |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toulouse Detrac |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stellar Cap |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Putt for Dough |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ryder’s Candy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crazy Cavalier |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Going Viral |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Old Nine (IRE) |
1.40 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Makutu |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honor the Cat |
30.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Burning Rubber |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bigredsandribeyes |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Chino Vaca |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Splendora |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Richi (CHI) |
1.20 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lisa’s Nonno |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ultimate Authority |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fayette Fox |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sun Of Hill (BRZ) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tom Seaver |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Scatify |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Simplexity (IRE) |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tigerhon (FR) |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tessuto |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kangaroo Court |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miracle Mark |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mystification |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Targaryis |
30.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Touchdown Brown |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Navy Jack (GB) |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
King Apollo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Disrespectful |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mining District |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keep Movin’ On |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Speed Grazy |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil Richards Bello |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spiritual Advisor |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kerry Gold |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Be Punctual |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Current Affair |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Favor to You |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Comeback Girl |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moonlit Courage |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Robin With a Why |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prestige Fungson |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vinalia (GB) |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Storm Lady (GB) |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cause I’m Perfect |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Gem |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sensational Dream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.