Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rebel Moon |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rock Solo |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Capo Luca |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iron Sharpens Iron |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magic Mover |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fast Joker |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haunted Flame |
2.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nacho Bar |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chromerunner |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Briterdayzahead |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Puk |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Splash |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Principe Carlo |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drill’s Li’l Man |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vale |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Luna |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Born Flawless |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hey Eugene |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cloud Without Rein |
4.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Raymond |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Uncaptured Warrior |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tempting Eve |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mom’s Palace |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spring Dancer |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Rational Theory |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Avery’s Mischief |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coaster |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Summer Travels |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Olympic Star |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meg’s Foxy Grey |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mambrino |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gun Party |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dance Some Mo |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mena |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Imperial Gun |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daily Grind |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jokestar |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Darrow |
5.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Black White N Gold |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fanatical |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faust |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Improbable Luck |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sports Hero |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Thirteen G’s |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Town Hero |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stiglets |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Septimus |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Energize |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flawless Beast |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tap Me a Song |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bathhouse Row S.) – Bathhouse Row S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hymn |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Instant Replay |
0.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Caldera |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Division |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pretty Capable |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Gunner |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Secure |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tap Into This |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fever Night |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Super Cruise |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sushi Man |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Global Quote |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ripped |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Houligan |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Need a Favor |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fairfield Bay |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kavanaugh |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Little Blaze |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Managing Mischief |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo for Us |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bennykayandsuzytoo |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready for Trouble |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brooklynn Drew |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Popperina |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
First Hill |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Insightful Miss |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spicy Delight |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chiquita Reina |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tizmarkus |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hicko |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Willy Cuts |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Butch |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
God’s Country |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Four O Nine |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pearcy Road |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Personal Jet |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Viney |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Arkoma |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coal Stone |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Golden City Street |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Valley Of The Vapors S.) – Valley Of The Vapors S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Miss Martini |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Aliyah |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jenkin |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quantum Burst |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Legal Empress |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dare to Fly |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anonima |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spankerboom |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Oaklawn H.) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Alexander Helios |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Mission |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skippylongstocking |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Banishing |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Disarm |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Red Route One |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tarantino |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go West Go |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Zippy Mark |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
War Mule |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two Dollar Eddie |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Al’s Romeo |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gettinby |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Strato |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brahms Image |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strike Ridge |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nicholai |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time Andbeyond |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Campisi |
3.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Task |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.