Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Mist | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Cara | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuligni | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mysaria | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Della | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Glory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Cool | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santagata | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Focus Pocus | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Mystique | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Political Spin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’sthefactjack | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Equus | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone and Forgotten | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Vita Sofia | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Me Hardy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | P Mutter Pickle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Her Bluff | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brown Suga Babe | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mommasgottagun | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lao | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racing Colors | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’m Very Sweet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | More Than Grace | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Limes Don’t Lie | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Lady McSparkles | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cahira’s Song | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candy Is Dandy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mila Candy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cara’s Chianti | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Patty Van Twinkle | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Scarlet’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concrete Faze | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Street View | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Thirteen Red Flags | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Brooklyn Dantz | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Catchphrase | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | How Sweet She Is | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Everyoneloveslinda | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rachel’s Rock | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vincey Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Justify | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Matcha | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Early Edition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Queen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Rising | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calisa | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabby’s Legacy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Pour | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farm House | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Material Girl | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.