Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bye Bye Miles |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Studeny |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Texian Devil |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quarterly Report |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nat Gas |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arthur’s Court |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Covert Quality |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Open Flame |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Acousticat |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Frosted Miracle |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Actin’ Up |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Union Dame |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s a Reader |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Take It to Court |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Patient Emilie |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’d Be Honored |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Myspittinimage |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Palm Tree |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mendelssohns March |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Palm Tree |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Special Dispatch |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Thunderer |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lear |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Neon Nights |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nullify |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maximus Magic |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Axton |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ian Glass |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dutch Mills |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Metallic Man |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Atomic Tone |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Brady |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miri a Coincidence |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cost Basis |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Family Tradition |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lions Not Sheep |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Life Is Hard |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palace Kitten |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Hightail Cowboy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tie Breaker |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Awol |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kye |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Harvest n’Hearth |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cavanal |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tough Customer |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good News Rocket |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awol |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Greers Ferry |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bote |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Country Boy |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flat Out Blessed |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Endue |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Heckamighty |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Winston Wolf |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zatara |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Don’t Get It |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Systemic Change |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ethereal Road |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Own the Field |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy Strike |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hern |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ducale |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Noble Knight |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Count de Monet |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eternally Grateful |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dynamis |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dick Best |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Face Value |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nip N Tuck |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
D Day Reunion |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unstable Prince |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Seas of Normandy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Midnight Taxes |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hap Hot |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Wide Awake |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crushed It |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Raymond |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mumayaz |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Got Thunder |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Willow Creek Road |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
De Angelo |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lochmoor |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
One Ten Stadium |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Drill’s Li’l Man |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
To too Twentytwo |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Cinema |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Aux Arcs |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chez Whiz |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Moneystrike |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rerun |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Commander |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Natorade |
2.50 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Statler |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Debater |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madmartigan |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
It’s a Rainy Day |
30.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fetchs Brahm |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gee No Hollander |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.