Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J D Factor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Light the Way | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dylan’s Ruby | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hatch | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derbyness | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I See You Lookin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince Valiant | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | National Identity | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Chase | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soontobeking | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huggy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Malarchuk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Chileno | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frizzante | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Glint | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mikealicious | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Pirate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hoku | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spun Size | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Observer | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Park | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nikki Brainburst | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady of Mercia | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Romance | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sigmund’s Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Augustine Red | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Kraft | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Base | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winit | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Paxsational | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Professor Grace | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Suede Sue | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posse Rocks | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie Marie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shock | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Good Mission | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Global Charmer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runnin’ Ray | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chelonian | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Skylander | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smile Mon | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fromanothamutha | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jackson Heights | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centavo | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Unlimitedpotential | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Disco Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever to Go | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decree and Declare | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howling Wind | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mischief | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Changer | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Event | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fedupwiththefed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lazy Y Legacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.