Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frisson 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Paynted Blue 1.40 1.1 2-1
5 5 Decisive Pride 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Cut’em Loose 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Breezer 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Sergeant Sinatra 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Happyflyer 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Loyal Clement 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hard Scholar 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Sunday Song 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Flat Cap 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Plex 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Georgeisimportant 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Blazing Tyreek 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 One Saratoga 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Fight Til Dawn 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Lieutenantseveride 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Edith 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Any Moment 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Xenon 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Stubold 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Instagrand Girl 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Charlie’s Beauty 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Nanananabooboo 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Honor Her 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Milk Punch 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Miso Spicy (FR) 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Vekoma’s War 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lisca Bianca 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Shades of Jade 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Princess Chloe 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dancing On Our Own 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Snitch Dorada 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fairhopecurly 0 0-1
Chloe’s Toy 0 0-1
8 8 Chloe’s Toy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Founder’s Day 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Minxy 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Noble Dreamer 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 Fairhopecurly 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Fields of Green 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sonet’s Name 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Avatal Hero 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Dove in Charge 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Whats Goin On 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Restless Dreamer 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Brown Sugar 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tree C’s Kai 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Midsummer Mo 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Olivia Valentina 30.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Taboo Mischief 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Royalty Rate 3.50 7.7 15-1
1 1 Counterinteligence (GB) 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grand Golden Road 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Five Eyes Onmichel 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Slew Diva 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rocky Seas 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 New Diamond 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Happy Sunday 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Pop Rox 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 United Forever 3.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Starship Legend 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Risk Threshold (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Candy Gray 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ro Town 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Freedom Speaks 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Golden Canary 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Crevalle d’Oro 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Sensitivity 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 She Prospers 30.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Time Passage 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 De Regreso 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cardinale 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Catalytic 1.80 1.9 3-1
6 6 Power Humor 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Wentru 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Who’s the King 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Princetown 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Capitan Danny (CHI) 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forever Now 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Insubordination (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Magic Pathway 2.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Hope’s Alive 30.00 4 8-1
11 11 Ski Bum 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Authentic Legend 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Holy Dancer 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Heaven’s Champion 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Old Marsh 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Benny The Waiter (IRE) 2.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Borealis Trail 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Summer Vibes 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Go Win Won 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 War Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.