Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Shot | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Roses | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Kentucky | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Busk | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Shot | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Wager | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin With Angels | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folk Song | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Essentially Gold | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Storm Cloud Rising | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Espresso | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorrono Ranch | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lexgo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Folk Song | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celestial Harmony | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emily’s Joy | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Essentially Gold | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cinnamon Sugar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheekwood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Satisfied Mind | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Red Beretta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Yo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Moon | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Me Not | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patrolman | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ransomware | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sant’ Antimo | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam the Brave | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nikolaou | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Business Model | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brooklyn Can Dance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rare Ruby | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Lady | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tennesseehoneybee | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pat’schromecompass | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger N Speightsy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starcourt | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Wine Lady | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Gotta Bolt | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Otis | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Divine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lotta Lissa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Play With Fire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hear the Queen | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aterradora (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ramsey Pond | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grade A | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Presha | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Star | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rare Art | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Go Town | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Illusions | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minnesota Munny | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drop the Hammer | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Birkin Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Lonelle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Annelle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Al Jafara (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Churning Berni | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stirred Up | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mink Stole | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evermore | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fitting | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s Button | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Ny | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Romanaya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hope Restored | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fanduel Limestone S.) – Fanduel Limestone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dreamaway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kilwin | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It Ain’t Two (GB) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abientot | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shisospicy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s All Charm | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laurice | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookatmybuckle | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Me Governor | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Eriu (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Lil Punky | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afternoon Diva | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stay Classy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hey Bertie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lovely Emma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Serving Time (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chandon | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snowyte | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defiant Lass | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meursault | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Rock | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roja | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play With Magic | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overcome Adversity | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maker’s Mark Mile S.) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Integration | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Carl Spackler (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funtastic Again | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Integration | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trikari | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heart | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Invader | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Aspen | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santorini | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Seminole Chief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abundance | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farm Team | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helm Place | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Memolo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Task Force | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tavern Time | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Scuba | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whisky Reserve | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Ruler | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Citizen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Johnson | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Diver | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | High Five Sy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Maker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cue Country Roads | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pastero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.