Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Magicshadow 0 0-1
5 5 Ekati King 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Right Karma 1.60 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lace Up 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Quencio 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Thingsrgettinharry 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Magicshadow 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Secret Lover 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ellagio 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Something Simple 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Point to That Star 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Nvdia 30.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Morning Splendor 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Burn It All 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Starship Kit Kat 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Easyasyouplease 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Calabash Cove 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Always to the End 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 City Taah 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tinta Roja 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Princess Blakely 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Diamonds N Thrills 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hockey 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sainte Chapelle 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mi Triguena 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Wink of an Eye 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 My Happy Holiday 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Only in America 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Fiveeyesonskystars 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sneak Preview 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Majorca 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Shotgun 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Social Majesty 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Santal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spy Hunter 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fredo 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Falfurrias 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Centrodelantero 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Victory Dash 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 King Elvis 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Frosted Over 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Merlin 2.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Manor House 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cashier Check 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Lights of Broadway 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trumpetta 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Park Avenue Betty 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Gray Lark 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Kathy’s Love Song 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Uncaptured Skeet 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Free Charging 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Take Me to Paris 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 I Love Ireland 30.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Edge of Freedom 2.50 9.7 18-1
4 4 Done Dirt Cheap 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nana’s Corn Muffin 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Royal Dame 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Ashima 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Zisisit (IRE) 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sara Mia 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Diamonds for Lily 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Z First 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Heir to the Roar 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Captain Junuh 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Iron Hand 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Human Desire 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Patrick’s Promise 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Krioyo 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Hands of Time 3.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Alinao Forever 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Helicopter 0 0-1
1 1 Fountain Run 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Rashid 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Helicopter 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Midnight Boss 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Imperatus 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Final Data 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bolt to Run 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Volatile Storm 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Maktub 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Big Bob 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Winegold 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sweet Lazarus 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.