Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Talker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Pupil | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Freedom | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashkenazi | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Dreamer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Talker | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brea From Three | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Pacifica | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Anubis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | No No Joe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zeca Diabo | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Metalhead | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On My Honor | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Via Della Spiga | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Monarch | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canavero | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy the Hat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Bruiser | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendello | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baie Longue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Facenda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | American City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Open Soul Autism | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sombra Dorada | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Breeze | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Bunny | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carolina Candy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beelieve Her | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Del Mar | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lylah Renee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Beer Run | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Troubleshooting | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fling Ready | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Skittle | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sustainability | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Natural Rights | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gibran | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cortina (IRE) | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proton Spirit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Velociraptor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gearing Up | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Windtalker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bravely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Insubordination (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smart Mo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Ice | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Gentleman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Golden Plate | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kistler | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stradivarian | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Hope | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mugatu | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Charges On | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Speed Institute | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Above | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hope Joe’s Right | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Diomedes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Raguel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wistucky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tango Mike Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Publicity | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ministerial | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redemption Time | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Gesture | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Precision Strike | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsinmyblood | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Django | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roussette | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dbook | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desperate Proposal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Into Amore | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prides Crossing | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bette Davis | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Cami | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Save Time | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foreseen | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Switch | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faire Plaisir | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Fashion Kate | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Imperial | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Hostess (SAF) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Ready | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zo Lee | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Creed’s Gold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Wanting | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out too Late (GB) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Always Angels | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hideki | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Foxxy Cleopatra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Say It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | May May Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Best Cupcake | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Geno’s Myth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Army Hero | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Ore | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sequential | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Love | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Total Gas | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Banderas | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skynet | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’oro Boy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Mor Story | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spielman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ky Thirty Won | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Momentum Files | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Romantic Lead | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cinister Cix | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nash Potatoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.