Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goldcrest 0 0-1
4 4 Maggie T 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 R Funny Bizness 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Collect Dattt 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 6 Shezanarcticqueen 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Goldcrest 2.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Jackie the Joker 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roman Goddess 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Harlan’s Bond 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Fast Kimmie 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mad for Maddy 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Troubled Luck 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 La Grotte 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dark Devil 3.00 1 2-1
1A 5 Bobby Bob 8.00 2 4-1
3 2 Pandemic Hero 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 6 Frantic 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 7 Tears in Rain 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Party With Smarty 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 3 Carlin Contention 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 He’smyhoneybadger 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 For Some Reason 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tetsu 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Amundson 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Brew Pub 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bad Larry 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dangerous Affair 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Artemis Sound 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Scarborough Fair 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Quiet Confidence 4.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Graceful Rose 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 I’m Kidding 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Handle On You 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Messi the Magician 5.00 1 2-1
1A 8 Blown Cover 0.80 1.6 3-1
2 1 Torpedo Run 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Noble Huntsman 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 First Trumpet 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Majestic Arc 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Twirling Vine 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 6 B Fifty Two 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carmen’s Candy Jar 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Pocket Queens 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Pretty Magical 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Valtellina 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lady Rainicorn 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cara’s Dreamweaver 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Royal Bobbie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Jerry’s Out 1.60 1 2-1
2 1 Steel Vengeance 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 8 Just Licorice 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Miles and Miles 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lou 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 E Z Bourbon 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 9 Bernie Goes Boom 15.00 5.6 11-1
1A 7 I’m Solo N in Love 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Unbroken Chain 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.