Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockaway Reef | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Vintage Ring | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Vanished | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockaway Reef | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victorious Nyquist | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ashes and Diamonds | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Takethesilver | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feasible | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Muse | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Ring | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Presence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liltonytwophones | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Night Time | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Vivace | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forgiving Spirit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Olazabal | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Beat the Rock | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shakin Loose | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hometown Hero | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liltonytwophones | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afternoon Heat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Improbable Story | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Business Model | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Don Corleone | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaching Chaching | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Park | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shallus | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Elusive | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knicks Gate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Military Cruiser | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Zapping Strike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Day Money Deegan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rainbow Glow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sr. Mary Margaret | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Harbor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here’syourtrouble | 1.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Home First | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranch Life | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Star | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kazillion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss World Peace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | A Kiss Because | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Anthony’s Spice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Be Salty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mustique | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Let It Ride | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Jokes Aside | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Urban Legend | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coast Along | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Curtis Run | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chiseler | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unworkable | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boltage | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hilarious Affair | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Larry and Mo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Demolition Duke | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Protege | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Maestro | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger’s Legacy | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chryso Alogo | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Partyvicious | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bebedouro | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Pistolero | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shipman | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Norwich | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cut the Dust | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Caliber | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion of Justice | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Control | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lured Away | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skate Away | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hedge | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashley’s Archer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Valentinian | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touchy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kakao | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Without Caution | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hymn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bracket Buster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer in Adriane | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Summer in Adriane | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Rotterdam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | British Isles | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ngannou | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shopper’s Revenge | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Obelisk | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sicilian Defense | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aleman | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Pipes | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Domingo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Presider | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer in Adriane | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Game Point | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Warhol | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kistler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Z Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.