Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shepherd | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Hale | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sock It to Me | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Shadd | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invictus | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sergeant Capps | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Ship Hooray | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playa Del Mar | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steeze | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Work | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tomasello | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Excite | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bermuda Triangle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Clay | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meritorious | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fateful Lightning | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trigger Point | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kicking Clear | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Van Ginkel | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Session | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kick It In | 50.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Mo Moolah | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tip Top Thomas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gunmetal | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brodeur | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got’m Cot’m | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thrilla | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fully Volatile | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr Ruben M | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retribution | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Dandi | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smokey Mandate | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Irish Aces | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Hollywood | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smokey Mandate | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Deductions | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Yamato | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eldest Son | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noted | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piper’s Factor | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timeout | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lincoln Highway | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Degree of Risk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Northern Invader | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hurry Hurry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pitkin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Vengeance | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fountain Lake | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shangrala Road | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Interceptor | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Man Standing | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keen Talent | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chillax | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abbi Fede | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fete | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Activity | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Development Fee | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totally Justified | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Vixen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nitrogen | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fionn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Justified | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtastic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Market | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Table Flirt | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Temper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liam in the Dust | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lush Lips (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Montalcino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Extra Anejo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nutella Fella | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Ride | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here Mi Song | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ashcroft | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whatchatalkinabout | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Best Actor | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoist the Gold | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Power | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Chip | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surly Furious | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Resolute Racing Madison S.) – Resolute Racing Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emery | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Mane Squeeze | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justique | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Lake | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Move | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Positano Sunset | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scylla | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Springs | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Valvoline Global Shakertown S.) – Valvoline Global Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valentine Candy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arzak | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coppola | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Carson | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shot | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rogue Lightning (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eamonn | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Think Big | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petcoff | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnham Square | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | River Thames | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owen Almighty | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Avenue | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chancer McPatrick | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnham Square | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Render Judgment | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Dennis | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynn Giant | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Run Jalen Run | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Theismann | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reynolds Channel | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Map to the Stars | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risk It | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Accident | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pentathlon | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Legacy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wyoming Bill | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Hammer | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seaport Lane | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | It’s My Life | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Standard of Proof | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Great Richie M | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.