Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lucchesi |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mine Seeker |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lookin Wild |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carry Grant |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Matzoball Muhammet |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leigh’s Last Hero |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run My Card |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Max Forward Speed |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Good Moments |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
You’re Forever |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Phone Eats First |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Merrychill |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Subway Susie |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Molly Malone |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Raichu |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aztec Bay |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Penny Polka |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ava K’s Boy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Commingling |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Man Woody |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warrior’s Vow |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sailor’s Return |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Pick |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Prince Colton |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Traffic Master |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ike’s Gamble |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tricolour |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Melt With You |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smoke Wagon |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
One Last Kiss |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bad Advice |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Viral Video |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Dosser |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Three Wells |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stillwater Moon |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Prince Lucas |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord Seabee |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Irish Wish |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lightning Boss |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Riley’s Rockstar |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bottles |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Superness |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fridayswithmurray |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Lou |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Captain |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Probationer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bode’s Maker |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Youbetterbejoking |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
It’s Game Time |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Level Up |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Margie’s Fun Son |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marty’s Magic |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Epic Luck |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Dude |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Warrior’s Ransom |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pure Lure |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beautifulcrazygirl |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing On My Own |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Doctor Abbie |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Warrior’s Ransom |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paula’s Surprise |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Assembly Point (BRZ) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Modica |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ira the Icon |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prince of Chill |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mega Charlie |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hagrid’s Flame |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Supreme Being |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yes Sir Colonel |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Let’smakeitadouble |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Spinning Heart |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boys of Summer |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Master Munnings |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Real Conviction |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nimmo |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Magical Road |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fully Committed |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Evasive Moves |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
McKirgan |
12.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Modern Era |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
King Deivys |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.