Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lily’s Army | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Speedo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinky Finger | 1.40 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barstool | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happyhappyboy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monster | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Double Talker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Red Lad | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chatterfield | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Rudy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiempos Buenos | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flaming Star | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Halcon | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Shirl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mission of Joy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pin Up Betty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spaliday | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Justifiable Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Amber Cascade | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catmint | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peignoir | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velvet Vortex | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Shoot It True | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peignoir | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Vortex | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evanescence | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beauty Reigns | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lynn’s Milky Way | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Women | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naive Melody | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Le Plume | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Eyes On Italy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vice | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hereforagoodtime | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grayleigh | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Green Jobs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Isle Be Ready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chere Amia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Gal | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Forward | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rather Distinct | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Itza Kitty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gum | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Acceptance Speech | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hideaway | 3.50 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Athaliah | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Debt Free | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kapoor | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B D’s Angel | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unwavering Trust | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Myth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | La Neige | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Viper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Forbidden Friend | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Motown Honey | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Athena | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maeve | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rachel’s Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Georgie W | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wico (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | This Is Uscar | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Archie the Giza | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Winters Lion | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Pointe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | El Rezeen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Season | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Raptor’s (BRZ) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Intellect (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Evade (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colloquial | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Itsmybirthday | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smoken Wicked | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquial | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touchy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rolando | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gate to Wire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | One True Shance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gunmetal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reagan’s Wit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Afternoon | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reagan’s Wit | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mi Bago | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Liberty | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clock Tower | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tom’s Magic | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maui Strong | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Test Score | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scipio | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Versus | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Barricade | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hammerhead | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Valentinian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sabertooth | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Septarian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pretty Capable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Muhimma | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supa Speed | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Look Forward | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Cara | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running Away | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Admit | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Milady | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amarth | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Golden Irish | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bindi | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mezcalifornia | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bread to Run | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sister Carlie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Smokeshow | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moochie Girl | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Princess | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Zaghruta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rando | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sherbini | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Autumn Rhythm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Itwillbefun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Madeline’s Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.