Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Direction | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discotheque | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Thorn | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abuelo | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ortley Avenue (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Bills Campaign | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Lee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Triumphant Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Mendel | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Buzz | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be There | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bandoola | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Tiger | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Flag (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Storm Stric | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Tekilero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R Money Moves | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand Amazed | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Herecomesdapeach | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Sense | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shedevr (GB) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wow Bubble | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Culminate | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gourmet Dinner | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Both Sides | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Pryce | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Only Words | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puckered | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Olaf Rose | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonny’s Goldenlady | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Koutoubia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mean to Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtap Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Rises | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Some of It | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blinging Burr | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ave Fenix | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bingo Baby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Widerthanamile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Richly Deserved | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | De La Cruz | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amjaad | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trip Aces | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Maestro | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robaire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Oasis Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ship Cadet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Success | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gepard | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dropkick Murphy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Sunshine | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jimmies Big Day | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Future | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thenorthremembers | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Competitive Saint | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Special | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ensign Parker | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha City | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Paschal Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timely Reward | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broderie | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Aurora | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U Lite Up My Life | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Spirit Gal (FR) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nerazurri | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elevated Game | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvattore Prince | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drakon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alley Oop Johnny | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Stars | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nerves of Steel | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rigel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dimanche Gras | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Back in Business | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Signal Caller | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neigh Sayer | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Express | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ayman | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game of Power | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ares Kashi | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risen Sun | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.