Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Starship Sedona 0 0-1
10 10 Odies Memory Lane 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Elsa Dutton 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Guiltyofhavingfun 5.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Darlin Tami 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Miss McKinzie 15.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Starship Sedona 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Kikuride 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Go Cami Oh 30.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Dertien 20.00 11 21-1
9 9 Miss Practical 3.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Gotta Secret 15.00 11.9 22-1
4 4 Very Smart 6.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Echo Eddie S.) – Echo Eddie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Style Cat 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Triple Diamonds 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Drop Um 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 R Heisman 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 I’m a Bad Boy 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bro Bro 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mr. Machupicchu 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Titanic Thompson 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moonlit Sonata 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Guy Named Joe 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Packs a Wahlop 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Jeweled Shillelagh 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Takes Three 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Freeport Joe 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mystification 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Beef Winslow 2.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Fasig-tipton Santa Anita Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Santa Anita Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tenma 0 0-1
Tenma 0 0-1
Tenma 0 0-1
No Bad Beats 0 0-1
4 4 Tenma 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Vodka With a Twist 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Madame Secretary 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 No Bad Beats 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Silent Law 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Look Forward 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio) – Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Safa 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Queen Maxima 0.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Queen of the Mud (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Omaha Girl 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Venganza 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ang N Ash 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Evening Jewel S.) – Evening Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 In the Air Tonight 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Going Deep 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hot Girl Walk 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Sunset Grazen 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Big Soiree 30.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Knightwithlouis 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Om N Joy 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Gold Currency 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 America’s Mark 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Less Is More 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Maria Tallchief 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Timekeeper’s Charm 20.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Sei Bella 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Wild Cat Danzing 30.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tight Squeeze 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Adverse Selection 20.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Enjoy 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Straker 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ridegold 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Stubborn 10.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Babe Kelso 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Horizon Wildcat 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Western Freedom 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Non Domicile 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Outworker 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Falcon Wings 30.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Far Over Loaded 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Beer Buzz 2.50 4.3 8-1
12 12 Gemini Buzz 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Silver I Am 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Keithing Thunder 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Fix It Quick 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Drop the Bit 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Oakley’s Smile 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Smiling Beast 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Piper’s Causeway 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Private Gem 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Chromeflash 10.00 3 6-1
13 13 Windribbon 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sir Rocket 10.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Idaho Once 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Where’s the Loot 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Uncle Chilly 3.00 6 11-1
12 12 Catmansue 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Cousin Richie 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Razen the Stakes 30.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Brazenly 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita Derby) – Santa Anita Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barnes 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Citizen Bull 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Baeza 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Journalism 1.20 2.4 5-1
3 3 Westwood 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Nene Diamond 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Not A Sinner (GB) 3.50 1.1 2-1
11 11 Shocking Grey 6.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Summer Lake 20.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Thermal 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Miss Mandalay (GB) 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Montjica (FR) 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Andiamo Ragazza 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Soho 5.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Quick Kate 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Miss Roberts (GB) 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Idessia 30.00 7 13-1
13 13 Shin Jidai (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Needlepoint (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eye On Ry 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Genius Jimmy 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Red Cross Knight 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 City Exile (GB) 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Lammas (GB) 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Heart Headed 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Irish Prophet 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Man Among Men 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Cathal (IRE) 3.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Covey (GB) 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.