Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Starship Sedona |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Odies Memory Lane |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Elsa Dutton |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guiltyofhavingfun |
5.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Darlin Tami |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss McKinzie |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Sedona |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kikuride |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go Cami Oh |
30.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dertien |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Practical |
3.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gotta Secret |
15.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
4 |
4 |
Very Smart |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Echo Eddie S.) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Style Cat |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Triple Diamonds |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drop Um |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
R Heisman |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bro Bro |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Titanic Thompson |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Moonlit Sonata |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Guy Named Joe |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Packs a Wahlop |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jeweled Shillelagh |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Takes Three |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Freeport Joe |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mystification |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beef Winslow |
2.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Fasig-tipton Santa Anita Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tenma |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Tenma |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Tenma |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
No Bad Beats |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tenma |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vodka With a Twist |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Madame Secretary |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Bad Beats |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silent Law |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Look Forward |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio) – Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Safa |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Maxima |
0.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Queen of the Mud (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Omaha Girl |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Venganza |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ang N Ash |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Evening Jewel S.) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
In the Air Tonight |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Going Deep |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Girl Walk |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunset Grazen |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Soiree |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Knightwithlouis |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Om N Joy |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gold Currency |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
America’s Mark |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Less Is More |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Maria Tallchief |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Timekeeper’s Charm |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sei Bella |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Cat Danzing |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tight Squeeze |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Adverse Selection |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Enjoy |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Straker |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ridegold |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stubborn |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Babe Kelso |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Horizon Wildcat |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Western Freedom |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Non Domicile |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outworker |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Falcon Wings |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Far Over Loaded |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beer Buzz |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gemini Buzz |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silver I Am |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Keithing Thunder |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fix It Quick |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drop the Bit |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oakley’s Smile |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Smiling Beast |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Piper’s Causeway |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Private Gem |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chromeflash |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Windribbon |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Rocket |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Idaho Once |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Where’s the Loot |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Chilly |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Catmansue |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cousin Richie |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Razen the Stakes |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brazenly |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita Derby) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Barnes |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Citizen Bull |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baeza |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Journalism |
1.20 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Westwood |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Nene Diamond |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Not A Sinner (GB) |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Shocking Grey |
6.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Lake |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thermal |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Mandalay (GB) |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Montjica (FR) |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Andiamo Ragazza |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soho |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Quick Kate |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Roberts (GB) |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Idessia |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Shin Jidai (GB) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Needlepoint (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Eye On Ry |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Genius Jimmy |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Cross Knight |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
City Exile (GB) |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lammas (GB) |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heart Headed |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Prophet |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Man Among Men |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cathal (IRE) |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Covey (GB) |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.