Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shepherd | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steeze | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invictus | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Shadd | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Ship Hooray | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sock It to Me | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Hale | 1.20 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sergeant Capps | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playa Del Mar | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Work | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meritorious | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomasello | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bermuda Triangle | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kicking Clear | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Mo Moolah | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Van Ginkel | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Excite | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trigger Point | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kick It In | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fateful Lightning | 3.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Clay | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Session | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gunmetal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tip Top Thomas | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thrilla | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got’m Cot’m | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fully Volatile | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr Ruben M | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brodeur | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Dandi | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retribution | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Degree of Risk | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Hollywood | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Aces | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Deductions | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smokey Mandate | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Yamato | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timeout | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eldest Son | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noted | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hurry Hurry | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Boy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Piper’s Factor | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Northern Invader | 2.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lincoln Highway | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shangrala Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pitkin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Vengeance | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fountain Lake | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chillax | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abbi Fede | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Man Standing | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fete | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Activity | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keen Talent | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Interceptor | 5.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Development Fee | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nitrogen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vixen | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lush Lips (GB) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fionn | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtastic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam in the Dust | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Temper | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Justified | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Table Flirt | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Market | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nutella Fella | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Extra Anejo | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ashcroft | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Actor | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whatchatalkinabout | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Ride | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Power | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoist the Gold | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montalcino | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Here Mi Song | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Chip | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surly Furious | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Resolute Racing Madison S.) – Resolute Racing Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Mane Squeeze | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justique | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scylla | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Move | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emery | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Positano Sunset | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Lake | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Springs | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Valvoline Global Shakertown S.) – Valvoline Global Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valentine Candy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arzak | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coppola | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shot | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Carson | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rogue Lightning (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eamonn | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petcoff | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Think Big | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Owen Almighty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Thames | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Render Judgment | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnham Square | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Avenue | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Dennis | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chancer McPatrick | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run Jalen Run | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Map to the Stars | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wyoming Bill | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Accident | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Theismann | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reynolds Channel | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Legacy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk It | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seaport Lane | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pentathlon | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Great Richie M | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Hammer | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | It’s My Life | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Standard of Proof | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.