Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Messagefromtheking |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Last Run |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ocala Rocket |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secret Bagent Man |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smooth an Easy |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oscarworthy |
1.40 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Renege |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Map This |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lindsay Smiles |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
On Moonlight Bay |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Clash City Rocker |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chitchatchitchat |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
In Fact Sheza Zask |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anacapri |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smooth Claret |
4.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Souper Dessert |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accelerated News |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starship Aspen |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Happy Ride |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royally Blue |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lita |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Denver’s Alley |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warda |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Not Guilty |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
J Z’s Last Schance |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
C C Girl |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Splash Dive |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maxine Magic |
1.60 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blazin’ Praline |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Sticker |
1.80 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lovelady Bolt |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gwenniethebutcher |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zennas Word |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Todo Fino (CHI) |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Louisianimal |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amor Lejano (ARG) |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Skull |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mayheminthepalace |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Walt Whitman (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bring Theband Home |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Okiro |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Reef Runner |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Horsepower |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Xy Speed |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yes I Am Free |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Eamonn |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Panther Island |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Fulanito |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Replevin |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Billionaires Row |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soar Richard |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Night of Magic |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Guty |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Distinguished Gent |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Scan |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
No Time |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sol d’Oro |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Capturing |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Time |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starship Impulsive |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prancing Spirit |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Beethoven (FR) |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready to Battle |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oxar |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Spider Belle |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Be Here Now |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wicklow Gal |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dontmesswithtess |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Misprint |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Get Pickled |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Deymar |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Musical Romance (GB) |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Khosea |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sonet’s Name |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Nice Try Riley |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wearebackyoungman |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Relax |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Our Souper Hero |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dracula |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Curved |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Venezuelan Hope |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Folktale |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Singleminded |
3.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nice Try Riley |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Landman Friday |
12.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hooray for Me |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.