Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Messagefromtheking 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Last Run 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Ocala Rocket 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Secret Bagent Man 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Smooth an Easy 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Oscarworthy 1.40 5.3 10-1
2 2 Renege 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Map This 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lindsay Smiles 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 On Moonlight Bay 3.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 Clash City Rocker 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Chitchatchitchat 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 In Fact Sheza Zask 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Anacapri 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Smooth Claret 4.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Souper Dessert 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Accelerated News 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Starship Aspen 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Happy Ride 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Royally Blue 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Lita 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Denver’s Alley 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Warda 2.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Not Guilty 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 J Z’s Last Schance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 C C Girl 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Splash Dive 4.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Maxine Magic 1.60 2.9 5-1
4 4 Blazin’ Praline 30.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Grand Sticker 1.80 4.6 9-1
7 7 Lovelady Bolt 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Gwenniethebutcher 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Zennas Word 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Todo Fino (CHI) 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Louisianimal 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Amor Lejano (ARG) 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Golden Skull 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mayheminthepalace 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Walt Whitman (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bring Theband Home 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Okiro 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Reef Runner 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Horsepower 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Xy Speed 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Biz Biz Buzz 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Yes I Am Free 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Eamonn 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Panther Island 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fulanito 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Replevin 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Billionaires Row 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Soar Richard 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Night of Magic 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 El Guty 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Distinguished Gent 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Grand Scan 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
No Time 0 0-1
4 4 Sol d’Oro 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Capturing 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 No Time 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Starship Impulsive 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Prancing Spirit 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Miss Beethoven (FR) 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ready to Battle 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Oxar 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spider Belle 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Be Here Now 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wicklow Gal 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Dontmesswithtess 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Misprint 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Don’t Get Pickled 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Queen Deymar 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Musical Romance (GB) 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Khosea 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sonet’s Name 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nice Try Riley 0 0-1
8 8 Wearebackyoungman 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Just Relax 8.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Our Souper Hero 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Dracula 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Curved 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Venezuelan Hope 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Folktale 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Singleminded 3.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Nice Try Riley 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Landman Friday 12.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Hooray for Me 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.