Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 True Connection 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Dialbolico 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Prairie Dunes 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Beach Blanket 4.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Henry’s Hope 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Change Your Name 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Fly’n Frisbee 4.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Solo Flight 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Belmont Union 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bramito 0 0-1
6 6 General Partner 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Toxic Gray 4.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Victory Way 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Twenty Four Mamba 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bramito 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Gun It 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nine N Four 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Man From Malta 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Magic Beach 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Total Silence 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Drive Thru 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 I Can See That 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Good Question 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Rocked Out 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Sol the Frank 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Braca 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Allure of Money 0 0-1
Catch the Smoke 0 0-1
3 3 Valenzan Day 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Empty Tomb 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Best Bet 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Allure of Money 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Screaming Uncle 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Catch the Smoke 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Allaboutthemoney 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Cumberland Blues 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Prince of Joy 30.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Retail Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tap It Easy 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Dear Chairman 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Twohonestmischief 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ferris Muler 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Palace Boss 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Solo Mio 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dr. Barry 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Montauk Memoirs 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Dominican Pirate 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Coco Sun 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Quiet Wisdom 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Prove Worthy 2.00 4.4 8-1
1 8 Big Rich 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Six Kings 8.00 7.7 14-1
5 4 Masterwork 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 Because the Night 30.00 8.4 16-1
3 2 Active Duty 12.00 8.4 16-1
12 13 Wild Banker 30.00 8.8 17-1
1A 12 Ice Time 12.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Beachwalker 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Indianquest 50.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Winter’s Ghost 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Zeebear 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Distaff S.) – Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Irish Maxima 0 0-1
1 1 Irish Maxima 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Socially Selective 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 St. Benedicts Prep 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ocean Gateway 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sea Dancer 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Royal Spa 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 All Class 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leo’s Reward 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Trust Fund 8.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Noonzio 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Stewie 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Brick Ambush 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Final Denile 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Sir Palace Prince 30.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Enticing Prospect 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Brewing 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Crimson Light 2.50 7 13-1
8 8 Saint Gaudens 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Gazelle S.) – Gazelle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ballerina d’Oro 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pure Beauty 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Deloraine 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Early On 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Vanilla Sundae 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Diriyah 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Liam in the Dust 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Late Nite Call 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Carter S. Presented By Nyra Bets) – Carter S. Presented By Nyra Bets

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Donegal Momentum 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quint’s Brew 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Maximus Meridius 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Full Moon Madness 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Surveillance 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Crazy Mason 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dilger (IRE) 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sheriff Bianco 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Excelsior S.) – Excelsior S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Phileas Fogg 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Batten Down 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Masmak 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Crupi 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mama’s Gold 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Classic Catch 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Curbstone 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Film Star 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rodriguez 0 0-1
Grande 0 0-1
Rodriguez 0 0-1
7 7 Grande 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sand Devil 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Rodriguez 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Captain Cook 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 My Mitole 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Passion Rules 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 McAfee 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Statesman 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Omaha Omaha 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Tiger Twenty Four 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Bear Claw Necklace 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hill Road 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dolomite 1.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sohana 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Snappin Buttons 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ariana Rye 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Fast and Frisky 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 A Maize Zing Dotie 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Nolita 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Sweetest Princess 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Clover Street 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 True Empress 30.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Monetary Monarch 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.