Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mamba Mindset 0 0-1
3 3 Defined Boundaries 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Docsgotallthecandy 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bye Bye Wicked Eye 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mamba Mindset 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Furious George 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Let Fly 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 City Panda 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Real Talented 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tyson’s Delivery 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mister Agent 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gotts Got It 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 My Mamba 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 The Wolfman 1.20 2.6 5-1
6 6 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Summerstateofmind 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 St Pete’s Passion 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Falcon Blue 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Foggy Dew 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Fiveclocksomewhere 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tell ‘Em I’m Comin 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Carolina Flake 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kitty’s Son 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Itsamonstamash 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Can Do 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Blessed Candy 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Nancy Mary 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ade 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Esroh 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sunflower State 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wild Vine 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hittheroadjak 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mindtap 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Windsor Gold 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Secret Zipper 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Concealed Carry 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Union Fleet 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Shaft’s Bullet 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pit Stop Man 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rad Paisley 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Goodluckchuck 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Beach Cowboy 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 King’s River 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Addy’s Laddy T N T 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sunset Town 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Navani 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dazzy 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Neolithica 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Skip Thru Da Fire 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Vodkatini 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Honor the Truth 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Levisa 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sapphire Beauty 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Loving Cup 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sweet Heidelberg 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Major Houlihan 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Yumyum Eat Em Up 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Fainor’s Filets 3.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.