Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lily’s Army | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pinky Finger | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Speedo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monster | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barstool | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Double Talker | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happyhappyboy | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatterfield | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Lad | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiempos Buenos | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Rudy | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flaming Star | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Halcon | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Shirl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pin Up Betty | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission of Joy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spaliday | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amber Cascade | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justifiable Belle | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peignoir | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catmint | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naive Melody | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot It True | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foie Gras | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evanescence | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beauty Reigns | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Vortex | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lynn’s Milky Way | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Women | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Le Plume | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Eyes On Italy | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hereforagoodtime | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vice | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grayleigh | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Forward | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Isle Be Ready | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Gal | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Jobs | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chere Amia | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rather Distinct | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itza Kitty | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gum | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hideaway | 3.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acceptance Speech | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Athaliah | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Debt Free | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kapoor | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unwavering Trust | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B D’s Angel | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Myth | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Neige | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Viper | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forbidden Friend | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Motown Honey | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Athena | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maeve | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rachel’s Kid | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Georgie W | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Hope | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Season | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wico (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Pointe | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Rezeen | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | This Is Uscar | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evade (FR) | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raptor’s (BRZ) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Archie the Giza | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Winters Lion | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Intellect (FR) | 3.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gunmetal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gate to Wire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsmybirthday | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One True Shance | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touchy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoken Wicked | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rolando | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquial | 1.20 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Septarian | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Afternoon | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Pretty Capable | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Liberty | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mi Bago | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reagan’s Wit | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tom’s Magic | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clock Tower | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maui Strong | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scipio | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Test Score | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Versus | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Barricade | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sabertooth | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hammerhead | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Valentinian | 4.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Muhimma | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Look Forward | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supa Speed | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running Away | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Cara | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Admit | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Milady | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amarth | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Golden Irish | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bread to Run | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Smokeshow | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mezcalifornia | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sister Carlie | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itwillbefun | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bindi | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rando | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Sherbini | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moochie Girl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Autumn Rhythm | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Madeline’s Promise | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Princess | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Zaghruta | 5.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.