Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Petrolo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Three O Two | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame It On Daddy | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ollie Can Dance | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Lister | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Landauer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silo Ridge | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Face the Facts | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camm’ Duke | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Prince | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ari’s Magic | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enduring Spirit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Tabeguache | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Mistical Curlin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alternate Reality | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Costa Terra | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Centavo | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Chelonian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Timaeus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omey Island | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomacon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berning Beauty | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Banker | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Bordeaux | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trade Secret | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coquito | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | April Antics | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everlys Girl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo City | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Find Your Joy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montebello | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 9 | Montebello | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hey Toby | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Horse Be With You | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Gone and Forgotten | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pop Coyer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Amundson | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Provision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castle Chaos | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Star of Wonder | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Big Blue Line | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Star of Wonder | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nelson Avenue | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Seeker | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Blue Line | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repo Rocks | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamie Dreams | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Chaos | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shaman Princess | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Despo’s Dream | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danneel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eastern Star | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alley’s Song | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santagata | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Cara Mia Mine | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hazel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.