Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Lightning 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Malu 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bells Beach 1.60 3.7 7-1
1 1 Soundbite 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rising Inflation 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 4 Chasing Daylight 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Karen’s Honor 4.50 2.5 5-1
2B 5 Magic Eight Ball 1.80 3.1 6-1
1A 9 Poseidon’s Mist 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 7 Sheza Bernardini 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 1 Baroness Bourbon 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Dolce Sera 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 2 Trade Secret 2.50 SCRATCH
3X 8 La Grotte 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Catchphrase 0.60 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Cool 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Dat Dares Right 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Moonlit Weekend 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gregorian Solo 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Toxic Girl 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brzina 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 My First Love 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Collect Dattt 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spiritual Lady 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sweet Gracie 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Equus 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strand Road 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bookitwithhaddad 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Revivalism 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 One Vision 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Twenty One Kid 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Rockible 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Very Satisfactory 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Macaw 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Remember the Chief 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Well Suited 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mano E Mano 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Noble One 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Bad Boy Butch 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Peek 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magical Ways 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Macallan 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Rungius 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Good Skate 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Otello 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Houdini’s Bride 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Khali’s Storm 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Ah Ca Ira 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sky Runner 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Welcome Back Babe 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Dear John 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Heavens Lee 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Staged Conflict 50.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Joevia’s Diva 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.