Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Denali Rae |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shake It Baby |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Road to Dreams |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leviosa |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jezebel Jade |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Between Dreams |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bahama Pearl |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gia’s Fuego |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Wishing Ona Prayer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Remarkable Mo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Big John |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hardy Choice |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clancy O’Toole |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Remarkable Mo |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dudley Dickerson |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Doctor Doom |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big John |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Title Shot |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forever Wicked |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Batter Up Bud |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Chilling Time |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunny Magic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Crush |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Cheesy |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
It’s Authentic |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carnaby |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chilling Time |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast N Sweet |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Parkerness |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aaraj |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bobby’s Candy |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiempo Perfecto |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Financial Strength |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flashy Alex |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Grayt Pumpkin |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Solemn Oath |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz Race Day |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Juradicial |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ifihadachance |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hi Heeled Warrior |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Classy Miss |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Chamita |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heleonortiz |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
More Ransom |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Poppy’s Pride |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Judge and Jury |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ego Man |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roan Burgundy |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jewels in the Bay |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mac Daddy Too |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sam Wheat |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grahmalamadingdong |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rumaway |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Fast Motion |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Moonlight |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Confirmed Genius |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tavin |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tempest Rising |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
True Phenomenon |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fast Motion |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pearls and Heels |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Broad Jumper |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Empress Deona |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Friday Surprise |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alchemism |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Son of Thor |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ohio Joe |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Colonel Bob |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sircharlybrown |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jadon’s Honor |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cojelo Pa Ti |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Eloquist |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eloquist |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Point Dume |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
In Spades |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Union |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deposition |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Duke of Gloucester |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bernie’s Mitts |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Borracho Concho |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stouthearted |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zihuatanejo |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pontiac |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Free Folk |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Solo in Paris |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
One America |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Z’s So Good |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
O’Brien |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Checking Boxes |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Heavy Timber |
15.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miracle Trip |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.