Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Roman Bronze |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nephele |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Walk Down Colgate |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saint Shelia |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rebelexis |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Siempre Naman |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tenacious Candy |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smiling Rapper |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ready to Pounce |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Joint Venture |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saqeel |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Keep Movin’ On |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ready to Pounce |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal ‘n Rando |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Silver N Black |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
White Mountain |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Gypsy Cowboy |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sinful King |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toppers Wager |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elegant Life |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soul Music |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dazzle the Command |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Acero |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
In Without Knockin |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Updraft |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beau Brume |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Littlebrotherjoey |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liberty Wolf |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Monsieur |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Aggro |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Makenarita |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Buds N Suds |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Readytoriskitall |
1.20 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chokechery Shari |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Allihies |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maga Kai |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mrazek’s Old Dream |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Helicity |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Going Viral |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
War to Remember |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Charlie Foxtrot |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Decapo |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Stephen |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thirty Two Chunk |
6.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Redial |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tex |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chief Renegade |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pratchett |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cody Boy |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mendelssohns Music |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
P Twentytwo |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spiritist |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Buckortwo |
2.50 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Splash |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uplift |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sensational Star S.) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kings River Knight |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
On the Whim |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clovisconnection |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tom Horn |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lonesome Stew |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fast Buck |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovesick Blues |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Book Smart |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Major Tom |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Don’s Smiling |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runnin Ute |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Major Tom |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Warrens World |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Love Candy |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Momo’s Kiddo |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Divine Rascal |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coulthard (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hermelinda’s Fancy |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Touch of Zen |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quality Cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Roy Hobbs |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Esmeray (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mizzyaan |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paradise Lake |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kentucky Gal (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Strutting (GB) |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Public Assembly |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starts Now |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cheekiest |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Mama Sue |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Ima Joker |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tiaraqueen (GB) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.