Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 30, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Golden Candy 4.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Augustine Red 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 7 Paxsational 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Narciso Dali 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Return the Ring 1.60 3.6 7-1
4 4 Vinsanity 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Steady Progress 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Teca 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Melancia 1.40 2 4-1
7 7 Just Words 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 On a Proud Note 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Kyle’s Mom 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Katerina Ristova 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Aerialist 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s Wicked Smart 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cajunette 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Lumenique 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 The Splendid One 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 One Good Raison 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Wake Up Lauren 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 R Special 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Magical Road 15.00 1 2-1
3 2 Mr. Papagiorgio 1.80 1 2-1
1A 8 Blown Cover 1.20 2.3 4-1
5 4 Messi the Magician 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Majestic Arc 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Noble Huntsman 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Aelfgar 10.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Aint No Joke 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calling an Audible 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Into Stardom 1.20 1.2 2-1
4 4 Our Preferred Pal 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Work Away 4.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Sounds of Summer 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Otherpeoplesmoney 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Chocolatechocolate 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 True Connection 2.50 1 2-1
1 3 Drive Thru 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Change Your Name 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Beach Blanket 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 7 Solo Flight 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Prairie Dunes 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 8 Belmont Union 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Henry’s Hope 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 9 Fly’n Frisbee 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On the Mount 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Uncle Jim 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Uncaged 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jerry’s Out 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Stormin Sammy 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Toga d’Oro 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Steel Vengeance 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Afraidofthebunny 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Majestic Frontier 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Kahala 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Bossmakinbossmoves 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Commandperformance 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Allaboutthemoney 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Co Conspirator 50.00 6.8 13-1
7 98 Centavo 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ice Road 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.