Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Broski (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rank |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mythical Reel (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unrivaled Hero |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prayer |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rowan August |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
West Is West |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skyquist |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tapatia Leah |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Booster Club |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bottom Dollar |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brandon’s Girl |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sexy Blue |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jolie Candy |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charmed Dream |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Eliana |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Silver Girl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (San Carlos S.) – San Carlos S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pilot Commander |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vlahos |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fort Bragg |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
For All Mankind |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spirit of Makena |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Just a Graze |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Annan |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Going Nowhere |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Canani |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fight Back |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Sir Tom |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Glass of Jameson |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Maxville |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fincairn |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
98 |
Dawkins |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Brother o’ Brien |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Union Wave |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Right Hand Ryder |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Supermazel |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Wimborne (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief’s Thirsty |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chief Jackson |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Oh Great (IRE) |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Wager |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Divine Rascal |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Happy Does |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ivory Moon |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unwritten Code |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Gregory |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lamporghini |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Champagne Camie |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiergarten |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Over Attracted |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corporal Violette (IRE) |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dr. Ray D. |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Happy |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sir Maximus |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bowtie Boys |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Battle Cruiser |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petesoldfashioned |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Bet |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Supermax |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swift Stephan |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiger Strength |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Wilshire S.) – Wilshire S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Alpha Bella |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncorked (AUS) |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tahini |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tirupati |
1.40 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Desert Rhapsody |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sophisticate |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Hug |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Devil Among Us |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kangaroo Court |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Momad |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tessuto |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Positivity |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Touchdown Brown |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mbagnick (CHI) |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shortman |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grubauer |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Halstyn Rose |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Inner Fury (IRE) |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunglow (IRE) |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tahiti Iti |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eastwick |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Motet |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Auntie |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Insolenta |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Into the Hall |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Velocity |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Gem |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.