Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cashmeup | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ember | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Adam | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Executive Action | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Face Value | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hess | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seas of Normandy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pittsburgh | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boogie Bode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Faust | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vital Mind | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirteen G’s | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fanatical | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drill Baby | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Temps | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Hero | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewvictory | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gateskeeper | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Seize | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Willy Cuts | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Two Dollar Eddie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizmarkus | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arkoma | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Tater | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dawson James | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Blessed | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dawn Strategy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pearcy Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Whitley | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ashburn Alley | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo for Us | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Called | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brooklynn Drew | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wreaking Havoc | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edistrudis | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helen’s Little Sis | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Heart | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dealing Justice | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Popperina | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Hill | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Ruler | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Giant Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Butch | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four O Nine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conway | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | God’s Country | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nicholai | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Markansas | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Endue | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Ruler | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Personal Jet | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Matron S.) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haulin Ice | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Almostgone Rocket | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benedetta | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haulin Ice | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holly Dolly | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Band | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moscato | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Disco Ball | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Favorite Outlaw | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bohemian Bo | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zambezi | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carbone | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Cab | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eglise | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Air | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Friar Laurence | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Again | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Distorted Pro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saudi Crown | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Wine Steward | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banishing | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Steel | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m McDreamy | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dimatic | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Payne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emmanuel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oy Gevald | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zardun | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zero Sugar | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fever Night | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spurgeon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Dome | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kavanaugh | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Decision | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Just Classic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Commack Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Eclipse Overnight S.) – Eclipse Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wendelssohn | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ninja Warrior | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Durante | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy American | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Get Her Number | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Willow Creek Road | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Attache | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Module | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Steel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (American Pharoah Overnight S.) – American Pharoah Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bishops Bay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bendoog | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal Arts | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Marie | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Tap | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maycocks Bay | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Screen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Chic | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Black Powder | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m McDreamy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quietside | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Quietside | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Simply Joking | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quietside | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Necessity | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Aliyah | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Sunset | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Em Too | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kinzie Queen | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runnin N Gunnin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Butterfly | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Milady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coal Battle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Speed King | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coal Battle | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cornucopian | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandman | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Publisher | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brereton’s Baytown | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Division | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bestfriend Rocket | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monet’s Magic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gunoe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lat Long | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cat On Time | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Party | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt At Midnight | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamis | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Magic | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ethan Energy | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daily Grind | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Harleezy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ten Days Later | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mambrino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Palm Tree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.