Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Island Dream Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eccentric | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet No No | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuned to the Moon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Venezuelan | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Trade | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder in Paris | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behind Schedule | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Authenticated | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noel’s Dream | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missy’s Map | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leelinda | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Behind Schedule | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Alliance | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Admit Nothing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forrest City | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ascendance | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Earl of Dassel | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Like Mike | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Your Life | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Papa Funny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Express | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swifty Devil | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coringa | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laddie Dance | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Captains | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Master | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bermuda Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gerrys Gem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s in Charge | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Irish | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Orientate | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and You | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Minister for Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alilnalot | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Dream | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Renegade | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loose Goose | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sumo | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caerus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon N Lace | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Fitness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gotanothathingcomn | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon N Lace | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Pearl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Aurora | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Aries | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bouncer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | S S Sinatra | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Joke | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Radical Right | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Wait Up | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Wanda | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatsyourbigidea | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cluck Cluck | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Umbral | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rascallion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just the Thing | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.