Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Chicago Theatre | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nantasket Beach | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ciao Chuck | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bring Me a Check | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dear Dad | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Samburu (GB) | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equivoque | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Junction Road | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iris’s Dream | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wistucky | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Greek Order (GB) | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Twowaycrossing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crystal Quest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Who’s the King | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Falfurrias | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quatrocento | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome Beast | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | El Apagon (CHI) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Pride | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beastly Speed | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Santos to Wilson | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avant Glory | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Beast | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unclecharliesgift | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Con Compania (CHI) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Louie | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Philip My Dear | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Cutler Bay S.) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discreet Dancer | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Classic of Course | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Forged Steel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wakan | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hit That Review (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bakers Street | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Due | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic of Course | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Change At Jamaica | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Dancer | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinetic Control | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Orchid S.) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen Regent (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Mehana (FR) | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacaya (FR) | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silvology | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Brazilian Girl | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Diamond | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thought Control | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Commendatore | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Makes Sense | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mainstream | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racing Driver | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | X Y Prime | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thought Control | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Total Sensation | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Litigation | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedstorm | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Completeeffort (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Harbe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle) – Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Far Bridge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tawny Port | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capture the Flag | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Equity (FR) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corruption | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Padiddle | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Siciliano | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Better Bet | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lorenz (BRZ) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ghostzapper S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Ghostzapper S. Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | White Abarrio | 0.11 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Sharp Cookie | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscan Sky | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Squeeze | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Tones | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Thor (CHI) | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enlighten | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 13 | 13 | Enlighten | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Itsallcomintogetha | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Flash | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | J P Hellish | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar’s World | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Stoked | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kalik | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anamnestic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bonus Move | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Delivery | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Romantic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Union Trail | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miranda Rights | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Drum Roll Please | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Gulfstream Park Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Gulfstream Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Five G | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Queens M G | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise City | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anna’s Promise | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cassiar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatintheliteral | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Early On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sanibel Island S.) – Sanibel Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candy Quest | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Mrs Worldwide | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Civetta | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic Q | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Cervere | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Cantera (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Quest | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirited Boss | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Temple City Taboo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annie Goodbody | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Witchcraft | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Army Mule S.) – Army Mule S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gordian Knot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Of a Revolution | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Implementation | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Going Up | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loco Abarrio | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Navigator | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inveigled | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Playmea Tune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Knightsbridge | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Sand Springs S.) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Club | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | In Our Time | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movin’ On Up | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breath Away (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be My Sunshine | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Five Towns (GB) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinning Colors | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Venezuela | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn Evening | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blind Spot | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buttercream Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ripassare | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Appleton S. Presented By Myracehorse) – Appleton S. Presented By Myracehorse
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fly the W | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Major Dude | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abrumar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seminole Chief | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portofino | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brawn | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruse | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the W | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Jeff | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skyro | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Axthelm | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa) – Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy’s Dailys | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Tappan Street | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neoequos | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madaket Road | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disruptor | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sovereignty | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Intentions | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indecisiveness | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoken Boy | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enterdadragon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.