Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 29, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Turriga 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Short Shift 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Splashy 3.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 First Class Cat 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Easy Play 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Intentious 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Carol T 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Adeleke 3.50 1 2-1
1A 4 Our Liberty Belle 2.00 3 6-1
6 7 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 8 Spring Magic 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Save Us Melania 2.00 4 7-1
8 9 Backstretch Rose 12.00 5.7 11-1
2B 10 Gridlock 5.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 I’m Buzzy 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Gone and Forgotten 5.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Pistol Liz Ablazen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bad Larry 0 0-1
5 4 Graywing 4.50 1 2-1
2 1 Dot’s Dollar 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Chuck Willis (IRE) 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Latta 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bad Larry 50.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Tetsu 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Cold as Hell 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Just Call Ray 1.60 SCRATCH
4 3 I See You Lookin 30.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Liberte de Bayeux 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Nine Hundred 0.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gypsy Dreaming 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Hot Spun 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Make Me 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Barb 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Vow of Secrecy 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Nod to Tran 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Into Inspiration 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Engineer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bold Endeavor 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Double Your Money 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Seeking Unity 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Strapped 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Winnin’onweekends 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mo Rhodes 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Taparino 50.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 First Trumpet 30.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Colloquy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Scat Tu Tap 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Midnight Glimmer 0 0-1
Fifi La Fume 0 0-1
3 3 Awesome Roberta 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Lilac 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Spun Size 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Midnight Glimmer 12.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Syl’s Pleasure 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Pucker Power 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Only in My Dreams 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fifi La Fume 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Esther’s Salad 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Gracie Girl 6.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Shock 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Gallipoli Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Vegas Weekend 0 0-1
5 5 La Banquera 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Killy Start 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Jackson’s Dixie 10.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Shetalkstomuch 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Vegas Weekend 30.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Willful Desire 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Play Good Pay Good 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Will Be Famous 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 R Funny Bizness 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Ambitiously Placed 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Maggie T 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Floge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Merica’s Back 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Motel Patel 6.00 1.2 2-1
13 13 Share the Ludt 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Tiote 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Undisputed 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Toga Dan 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Fresh Start 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Detail Oriented 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Demand 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Disco Dervish 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Sanzio 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Alzero 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Blue Pill 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Borracho 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Iconic Legacy 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Quick Hammer 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Uncle George 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Hatch 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 High Tide 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Scaramanga 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Honorary Degree 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Braciole 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dads Good Runner 50.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Funny Joke 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Giroovin 3.50 1 2-1
10 11 Unlimitedpotential 4.50 1.1 2-1
11 12 Supreme Law 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Sagamore Mischief 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 9 Life and Light 50.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Legal Deal 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Divine Miracle 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wild Banker 50.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Skylander 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smile Mon 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Street Swagg 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Prince Colton 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Forever to Go 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Inamorata 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lollipops 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Night Jasmine 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Cloudy Chance 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Julita 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Trulli Magic 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Turbo Train 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Calisa 15.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Patience N Grace 20.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Dear Moon 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Fedupwiththefed 10.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Sunshine Lily 8.00 11.4 22-1
3 3 Tizn’t Anymore 20.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.