Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Looking for Ginny 0 0-1
4 4 Farm House 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Looking for Ginny 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Game Like Reyana 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lonchura 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sherman’s Marlin 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Last Mango 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Irish Jackson 0 0-1
Last Glory 0 0-1
1A 2 Trade Secret 1.00 1 2-1
2 3 Irish Jackson 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 7 Dashing Della 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 4 Lady Arwen 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 5 La Grotte 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Poseidon’s Mist 1.00 4.8 9-1
5 6 Last Glory 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goldcrest 0 0-1
1A 5 Shezanarcticqueen 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Ghostly Girl 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 6 Goldcrest 1.00 1.6 3-1
7 8 Jackie the Joker 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Balenciaga Betty 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Everlys Girl 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Jolly Miss Jill 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 4 Echo Seven 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mursal 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Luna Moth 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Kara Para 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Toned Up 1.80 3.9 7-1
3 3 Whistler’s Style 3.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Looks First 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Notmysteppingstone 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Helen’s Revenge 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Maxaluna 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 I Am Rue 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Honorable Becky 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Royal Event 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 D’s a Rock 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Focus Pocus 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky and Gorgeous 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Accelerina 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mia Nipotina 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Montauk Mystique 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 To Be Loved by You 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Troubled Luck 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 That’sthefactjack 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lem Me Drink 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Delray 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Broadway Lights 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Moonlit Drive 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Shadyside 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fortuna Mia 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Army Gal 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runamor 0.80 1 2-1
9 9 Capt Jax Parrow 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ragtime Prankster 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Damage 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Solomini’s Legacy 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Uncle Barrie 30.00 7 13-1
5 5 Danziger 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Classic Martini 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Gorzo 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.