Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Looking for Ginny |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Farm House |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Looking for Ginny |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Game Like Reyana |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lonchura |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sherman’s Marlin |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Last Mango |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Irish Jackson |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Last Glory |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1A |
2 |
Trade Secret |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
3 |
Irish Jackson |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Dashing Della |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
4 |
Lady Arwen |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
5 |
La Grotte |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Poseidon’s Mist |
1.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
6 |
Last Glory |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Goldcrest |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1A |
5 |
Shezanarcticqueen |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ghostly Girl |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
6 |
Goldcrest |
1.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
8 |
Jackie the Joker |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Balenciaga Betty |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Everlys Girl |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jolly Miss Jill |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
4 |
Echo Seven |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mursal |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Luna Moth |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kara Para |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toned Up |
1.80 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whistler’s Style |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Looks First |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Notmysteppingstone |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Helen’s Revenge |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maxaluna |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Am Rue |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honorable Becky |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Event |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
D’s a Rock |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Focus Pocus |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky and Gorgeous |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Accelerina |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mia Nipotina |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Montauk Mystique |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
To Be Loved by You |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Troubled Luck |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
That’sthefactjack |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lem Me Drink |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Delray |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Lights |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moonlit Drive |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shadyside |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fortuna Mia |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Army Gal |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Runamor |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Capt Jax Parrow |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragtime Prankster |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Damage |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Solomini’s Legacy |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Barrie |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Danziger |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classic Martini |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gorzo |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.