Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Legs Romolo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mio Bambino | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belly Up | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naftis | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronko Nagurski | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tallis | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Dreams (GB) | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Key Is Unity | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Ransom | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gray Frost | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorine’s Wild Cat | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vulin | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Addiction | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Mistress | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (China Doll S.) – China Doll S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Another Card | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amorita | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequilaandtherapy | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Then | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casalu | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Upstart Yankee | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Square Cat | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nauvoo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grazen Sun | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Erebus | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Clever Clover | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of Clubs | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Classic | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moogie Son | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D D S Express | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Heat | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rodrigoknows | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly the Sky | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big George | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual Advisor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santa Barbarian | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Not Stirred | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Evco | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cano for the Win | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toppers At Seaside | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kersting Court | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sawtooth Bow | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin for Curly | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big City Miss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Less Is More | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We the Hobby | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Kid O Kid O | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suntory Time | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expressive Love | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Whoosh | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wink and a Grin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Pop | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Silver | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Cap | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rousing Jewel | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorie Miller | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Maryann | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Doncic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simplexity (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Moon | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Swear Dave | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hacking It Up | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatmakessammyrun | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Summer Dream | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Tears | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Waters | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | North Country | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.