Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Levisa | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Island | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hateful | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Temper | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Luck | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Talia | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Time Vixen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Catch the Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Millibar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up in Flames | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Not Over Yet | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bishop Meade | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Probale Ten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tuff Luck | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Everett’s Song | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El de Larry | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quincannon | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pudge Boy Palace | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alvy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty the Giant | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Energy Efficient | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master of None | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bode’s Maker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sadie the Goat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mavilus | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’sarollingstone | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Dance | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chelsea Wall | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Destined to Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Born Charmer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sabra’s Song | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gottahoppertunity | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Map to the Moon | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pap’s Lil Patriot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Serafina | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lazy Days | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maren Mayham | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firing Thoughts | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Melissa | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Be Hoppin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Marmaris | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Leelinda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lifting | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Fair Shake | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Change My World | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Music | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Artemis | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derz Smart | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Blood | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Stott | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Superpower | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lou’s Birthday | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Haileysfirstnotion | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elvis Himself | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camulus | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Out World | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heard On Thestreet | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spikezone | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rominski | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Antonelli | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Factor It In | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven’s Eleven | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Easy Days | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debit Card | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mor Mor Mor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shining Spirit | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maddie Ten | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midsummers Eve | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bucchanera | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harmonizing | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hazelmoor Beach | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Nan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.