Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
He’s a Daredevil |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat Cap |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ruiz Junior |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dynamic Empire |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Will of a Warrior |
1.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rags Special |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Last Shall B First |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Texas Holiday |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Basilea |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nosleeptilbrooklyn |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unlimited Spending (JPN) |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
13 |
13 |
Princess Attitude |
4.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serendipity |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ora d’Oro |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sailaway |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Gael |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
16 |
16 |
Sweet Mackenzie |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome McKinzie |
15.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Share Repurchase |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Uncommon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sassari |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Romina |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Baby Lala |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Chaplin |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jet Wings |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rachel’s Coach |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Souper Success |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chaplin |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Whirlwind Ride |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mister Kelly |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Competitive Saint |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lunar Rocket |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Smokin Jack Flash |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Navesink Pirate |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deputy Tramon |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reverend Moon |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Habana Boy |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kantharos Jr |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
John’s in Charge |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kathy’s Love Song |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Overmars |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Edition |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Alexis Zorba (GB) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chess Master |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Red River Rebel |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Granitiansevensix |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cruzin Man |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Rod |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Lilo |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
El Tekilero |
50.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Bali |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heymackit’sjack |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Barzini |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Vertrauen |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mahovlich |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Refined Honor |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Layabout |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Malibu Man |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Old Marsh |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Migratory |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Primordial |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Candy Street |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lookin for Roses |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foxtrot Harry |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Bite |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sigrun Fast Boy |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Quality |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Austonian |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Candy Street |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Guildenstern (IRE) |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rapscallion |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Don’t Answer |
4.50 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Melody Of Colors S.) – Melody Of Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Le Amazonia |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Make Haste (GB) |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cloe |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dare to Breeze |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Me Governor |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Laurice |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thankfully |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Origami (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shesinamood |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Abientot |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mojo Rising |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Mary Nell |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starship Melody |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s My Lady Luck |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Money Bouquet |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Popstyle |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mojo Rising |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grade A |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
McHale |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sticky McShnickens |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Term |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Battle Drum (FR) |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beach Gold |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mobster |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapakena |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inherent Promise |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
McHale |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Souper Justified |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sardis |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tinebar |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Woodspoint |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Love That Symphony |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.