Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tribest (ARG) 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Copper Crush 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tabor Time 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Bikini Bottom 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sister Saint 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Run Away Samari 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
He’s Super Wicked 0 0-1
4 4 Mister Dennis 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Talkin Slick 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 First Samaritan 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Charles Bodie 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Watchingtime 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 He’s Super Wicked 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Max Mecool 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Seven Digits 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steady On 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Battle Scars 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Midnight Jostar 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Twoko Bay 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 El Perfecto 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Agatino (IRE) 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 He Gots to Go 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Seven Channels 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 My Bariley 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Dapper Dude 20.00 10.5 20-1
13 13 Firewater Jake 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ember 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Over Calendared 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Good Like Magic 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gibson 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Queen’s Knight 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Hudson’s Day 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Doolgaroux 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cool Guitar 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Lost Da Vinci 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rescue Squad 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Raspberry Squall 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tempting Eve 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 I’m Mo Joke 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pointsetmatch 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sycamore Shoals 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Scattitude 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Didn’t It Rain 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Conch Fried Rice 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Knocked Out 10.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Hope Restored 12.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Silver Pearls 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tensas Bolt 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Smittys Cheetah 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Poppy Red 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 It’s Been Real 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Lyrical Belle 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Liberty Simone 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 F J’s Chaos 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Prayforthewicked 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Jewel Marie 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Lady Star 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fouralivia 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wupkar 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Country Lady 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Viv’s Wild Aces 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pip Squeek 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Copper Moon 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 The Pretty Sister 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tap Galore 3.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Country Belle 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 She Has It All 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stellify 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Plaisir d’Amour 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Pioneer Mission 15.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Hope Mission 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Nana Grace 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Positive Carry (IRE) 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Faded Jeans (GB) 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 J Bear Beach 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lolo’s Girl 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sands of War 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Machiva 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Win for Speight 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clear as a Bele 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 F T W Slam 3.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Speightful One 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Sonofaship 15.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Like This 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sono 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Tambourine Star 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Strong Promise 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Astrologysprotege 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Black Sword 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Josan 50.00 11.2 21-1
10 10 Father Goose 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Star Guitar S. Presented By Brittlyn Stable) – Star Guitar S. Presented By Brittlyn Stable

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Behemah Star 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tdzshininluckystar 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Allnight Moonlight 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Benoit 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Cosmic Train 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Up N Gone 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Touchuponastar 0.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Cheese 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Page Cortez S.) – Page Cortez S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Six String 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Luyv 20.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Tommie G 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Rue Lala 4.00 5 9-1
12 12 Eye of the Pharaoh 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Classy Judy G 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Bayou Bertie 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 From Scratch 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Sassi Strutter 5.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Won Day 12.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Box of Pictures 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Tensas Lucy 30.00 8.3 16-1
15 15 Sienna Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 La Nina Dorada 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mo for Us 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Norah G 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Certified Gem 5.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Dixie Farmer 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Sweet Darlin 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Liberal Lady 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Wonderrand 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Clearly a Test 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Tensas Candy 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Emily’s Bullet 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.