Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flexible Terms | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Words | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Tizzy | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comininalittlehot | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missile Cruiser | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flexible Terms | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jumper Cables | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newlands | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enough Already | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Zombo Bombo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trotsky | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valentines Candy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Appeal | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enough Already | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Altai | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Leasure | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yogi Boy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travelin’ Show | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt Supremacy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | News At Ten (GB) | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Om | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Looks Rare | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resemblance | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Rocks | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Disrespectful | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad to the Bones | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Seaver | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Tom Seaver | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zeus’ War | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schwarzmeier | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Player B | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agency | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Rinca | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Makes Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stepbrotheraustin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arromax | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sawyer’s Speed | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black as My Heart | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Fabricator | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Unions | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toppers Wager | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nobel Gary | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (San Luis Rey S.) – San Luis Rey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easter (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Atitlan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divin Propos (FR) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megayacht | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balladeer | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Mammoth | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wizard of Westwood | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jerry’s Spirit | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Man | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stan From Malibu | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rogue Son | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always On Cay | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ace of Clubs | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carol’s Comic | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trinidad | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Havoc | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tequila Talkin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Reign (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valkyrian (IRE) | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runamileinmyshoes | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Defiance | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Word Play (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cornelia Fort | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delusively | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovin’ On the Run | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Needlepoint (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.