Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Kick Startness |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yodel E. A. Who |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gambling Tzar |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Martini Martin |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Perno |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Impetud |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Home School |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Captain Cardo |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Award Nominated |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Irish Hero |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Main Line Cipher |
1.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Super Bourbon |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tough Workout |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speakerit |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Formal Affair |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Haleigh B |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fainor’s Filets |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Haunted Room |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
At First Sight |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Genieinabridle |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always Forward |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Halo City |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Jolly Miss Jill |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Striking Sparks |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stronsino |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Striking Sparks |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Derbyness |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Collection Day |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brother Brad |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Passioned |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lady Lemoncello |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sippin’ Time |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Third Tuesday |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Autumn in Vermont |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Paperback Edition |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Girl Gone Wild |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aunt Margaret |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
She’s a Gem |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mae Be Mae |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bad Boy Blaze |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Urban Symphony |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sir Mick |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kissling |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enabler |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Docsgotallthecandy |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sir Chance a Lot |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honors Due |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freedom Stance |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Beyond The Wire S.) – Beyond The Wire S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Central Casting |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Safe Trust |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Charm |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Onyx Ten |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Burner Account |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beautiful Blome |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moon Cache |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ourdaydreaminggirl |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Private Terms S.) – Private Terms S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tony Eclipse |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crab Daddy |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sacred Thunder |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pay Billy |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baby Dukes |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Superpower |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Global Steve |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Change My World |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Align |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rick’swarmheart |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mamba Mindset |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gordito |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Parlay for Destiny |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flatbed Ford |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Repeatingofcourse |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.