Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Never Really Know (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Note of This | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Night Revival | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Massarat | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Song | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Going | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldenageactress | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shrewd Operator | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Romance | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skipper’s Ruby | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fugitive Star | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nana Grace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lolo’s Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kisses for Cooper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Birkin (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Custom’s Cleared | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Wicked Cat | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yorktown Panther | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Coaster | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ayden’s Edge | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mai Tai No Ice | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clearly Majestic | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Scrim | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shot Gun Shack | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gabe’s Possum | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zack Talkin Smack | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allstarhollywood | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | First Samaritan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | High Adventure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Musical Band | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tombigbee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atarah | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mindy’s Union | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contorted | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shewontbudge | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saucier | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stylish Lady | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Belle | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steppin Tothe Beat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devastating | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Pearls | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eff Thirty Five | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Freedom’s Way | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Armands Key | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Create Trouble | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Realignment | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yellow Brick | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eff Thirty Five | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camaro Z | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Alone | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Record Time | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Gris | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unified Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Release McCraken | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Crescent City Oaks) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Fire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margie’s Intention | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powdered Sugar | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Justice | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canal Street | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Star | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lola and Rose | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Faith | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Costa Rising S.) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Geaux Sugar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Dinero | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Just Lucky | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monsieur Candy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marks Promise | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Scooteria | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Badge | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Chopper | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stovall | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Boo | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Iron in the Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nine Part | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Summertime Peppers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tdz Hint of Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Crescent City Derby) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dapper Moon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hay Jude | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wicked as Haggart | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Time | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin On Gin | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Mitole | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Boss of All Bosses | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Million Moons | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Thrill | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Acknowledge | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Same Play | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majority Opinion | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Late Again | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A Passive Nobody | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tom Benson Memorial S.) – Tom Benson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Way to Be Marie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strikingly Spun | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fun With Flags (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tufani | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stir Crazy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eastern Empress (GB) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Performer | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lakota Spirit | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amber Cascade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sabalenka | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wild Bout Hilary | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Champagne Rose (BRZ) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Touchuponastar | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Touchuponastar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sierra Leone | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hall of Fame | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | San Siro | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tarantino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bishops Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uno Mas Bourbon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maycocks Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kinetic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of St Louis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Idratherbeblessed | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redistricting (GB) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Higgins Boat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Mandate | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gigante | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johny’s Fireball | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What Say Thee | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Red (GB) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant Berti | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cameo Performance | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancin in Da’nile | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fasig-tipton Fair Grounds Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good Cheer | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Her Laugh | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gowells Delight | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ahavah | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Faith | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Math | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quickick | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jenkin | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bless the Broken | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiztastic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | John Hancock | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Furio | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Built | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiztastic | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vassimo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caldera | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hypnus | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chunk of Gold | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yinzer | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Instant Replay | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.