Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calicoco 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Mi Solution 4.50 2.9 5-1
12 12 House Bourbon 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Passing Judgment 3.50 3.9 7-1
13 13 Northernreflection 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ice’m Up Boys 5.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Fran’s Star 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Coffee County 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 American Dollars 15.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Catchin Drama 50.00 12.5 24-1
1 1 Deer Crossing 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Unified Report 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Regatta Bay 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Beaudean 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Computerized 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 M L Brody’s Gem 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Rexinator 4.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Iron Fortune 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 V Cut 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Valid Early 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 City of Love 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Star Ready 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Canal St. Cupid 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Iron Moon 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Go Brother Go 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Apriority Avenger 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Game and Gormley 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Scoring Drive 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Cabro Toro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Criminal Defense 0 0-1
2 2 Global Pride 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Triple Trea 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Findaway 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bobby Two Shot’s 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Malibu Brad 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Summer in Aiken 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Criminal Defense 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Harpes Hill 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tickled Quist 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Zapata (IRE) 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 English Chunnel 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Finn McSorley 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Initialize 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Elko County 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Swaging 3.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Max Collector 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 La Perfect Bee 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 El Magnifico 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Misterholyroller 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Onasa 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Eye Dee Kay 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Twirling Roses 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Global Stage 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Call Me Midnight 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Veracruzin 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Whiskey and Easy 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Went West 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Huntleigh 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mischief Joke 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Single Again 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Save the Queen 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Embrasser 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Beamer 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tartaria 10.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Therdgoesonforever 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sneaky Stalker 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Laoban’s Carat 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Laws of a Nation 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flirting With Time 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Mendelssohn 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mascara 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hey Bertie 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Bet Towinit 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Afternoon Diva 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Funny Lady 5.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Fine Finish 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Gata Brazil 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Carson Bay 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Likely Perspective (IRE) 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Royal Princess 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wise Verdict 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Infinitesimal 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hoosier 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Swift N Traffic 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Muffin Nuts 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 City Park 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Wise Guy 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Gallant Star 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Zion 30.00 10.7 20-1
12 12 Sparkin 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gobot 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hail the Cat 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.