Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Classic Embrace 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Swamp Queen 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Spicy Mustard 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Diva Beach 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Take Too 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Perfect Dixie Lady 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Sweet Thirteen 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Production Meeting 8.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Vanna G 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Too Spicy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Manny’s Kat 0 0-1
7 7 Manny’s Kat 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Egor Otay 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Freeway 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 F J’s Flaco 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Corked 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Love a Fighter 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Wicked Tough 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Colt’s Brim 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lemon Sohn 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Somekinda Mischief 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Grand Academic 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Raising Kane 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Flick 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mississippi Man 3.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Oliverio 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wise Anchor 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Calibrachoa Kid 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Order Up 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Sammy Danseur Jr. 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Chad’s Flash 15.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Drewmazing 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Slither 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Dixie Street 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Older and Wiser 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Flashy Premo 30.00 8 15-1
4 4 Totally Addicted 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Betty’s Dance 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Can I Get Awitness 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Reimagine 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Kissin Riches 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Manage Xpectations 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mighty Risky 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 McKinzie Magic 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Midnight Mary 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eyes On Italy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laser Clad 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hesper 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Star Rock Star 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Pair of Socks 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Conejo Chapin 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Girlie’s Max 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Chantico 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gold Thief 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Hawija 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 El Dan 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Front and Silver 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Visionista 12.00 1 2-1
12 12 Luminous Flight 6.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Rusty’s Sunrise 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Apriority Catch 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 That Is Awesome 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Czar’s Ballerina 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sacred Saint 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Girl Thirsty 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Smart Izzy 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Country Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pip Squeek 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cypress Gold 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tonteria 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Wicked Secret 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Slick and Fast 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wood River 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Captivating Star 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Single Shot 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Inchhighatahundred 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Turf Monster 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Magnolia West 15.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Wise Verdict 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unified Report 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Play Mo 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Runninginthemoney 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cheatin Charlie 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mysterious Spirit 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Averi Ever After 0 0-1
3 3 Strawberry Sundae 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gypsyroselee 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sikara Sikara 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dolly’s Guitar 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Miss Kennedy 8.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Craftroom 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Ann’s Storm 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Ours and Theirs 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Fitts N Starts 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Our Little Girl 12.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Averi Ever After 12.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Drewsilla 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sue’s Little Zing 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.