Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Show Boat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunday Song |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fattoush |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fight Til Dawn |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vino Grigio |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fifty One Fifty |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blazing Tyreek |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Apocalyptic |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not One Less |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Paola |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inallprobability |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cue the Music |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Biggio |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miss Ocala |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Apocalyptic |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Point to That Star |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Starlight Luna |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Affirmed Blessing |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Miss Banks |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Grand Sticker |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hollywood Mayhem |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red Candy Apple |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thunder Cane |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coastertothemoon |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Western Shaft |
2.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Noble Force |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
But Now Am Found |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
R Money Moves |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun’s Cookin |
1.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mega Don |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tempo Ride |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Not Like Us |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yadirayadirayadira |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Virgin Island Nice |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Franks Mimi |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fredericksburg |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Performante |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sehr Schoen |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lou the Body |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Antillean |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Romero |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Three Zero |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rolling On |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rocket Dragon |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kantknowitall |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Christensen |
2.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sterling Harmony |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Selecto |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Untroubled |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sneak Preview |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Soar Richard |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Swap |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Take the Gold |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fort Sam |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lean Music Machine |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sansone |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cadamosto (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Old Chestnut |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seaver |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
If Not for Luck |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Landing |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Panther Island |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Poulin in O T |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Park Avenue Betty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tree C’s Kai |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
British Empress |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Majesty’s Song |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calling the Shots |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goddaughter |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Park Avenue Betty |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Always Adriana |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Kestrel |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Areacodefiveoone |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
She’s a Hottie |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.