Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | About to Set Sail | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basile | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Getoutofdaway | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Boujee | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Harmony | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Susan | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I’m Bleu Too | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Empress | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Deceiver | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Pom Pom | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Harmonic | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chattanooga Crew | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Seek | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Force | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blondate | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Half | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scootin’ Boots | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bandido Deal | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Z Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Charge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Randy Daytona | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quikonthetrigger | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Grand Slam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Watchingtime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pasketee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Springtown | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Billy Bowlegs | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deal of Faith | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ampitup | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twofexusnexus | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gordito Hermoso | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Native | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Dane | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | To the Chief | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bosun | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Advanced Spirit | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valley of Fire | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Lion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Restore (FR) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World Chaos | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Might Be Me | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Moment | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | La Perfect Bee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Max Collector | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Takethefifth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mondogetsbuckets | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sierra November | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Episist | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spying | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Reynita | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Protocol | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bundle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama Bourbon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spunderdog | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kavod | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Ruler | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honky Tonk Highway | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of a Birch | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felix | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ambivalent | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Berley | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arro Smash | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Frankie’s Empire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreamchaser Jewels | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Thats Unbelievable | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Kalil | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Diva | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awree | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delightful Halo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jus Makes Cents | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thats Unbelievable | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlebitofaqueen | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rememberin Ronald | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frisee | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.