Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Native Runner |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magnum Force |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Infinite Luck |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Consecrated |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Ice |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Pack |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Gift Giver |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Deal Em Justice |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Josh G |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gift Giver |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Night Stick |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deal Em Justice |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jacque Couteau |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gabbys Bling |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maybe Eye’ll Call |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Guile |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whole Lotta Lute |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Malibu Rain |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moonovermontgomery |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kee Jee |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Country Cut |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joeybones |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kingscote |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sabi |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Boy Tony |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Optimus Kat |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Romance |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baltimore Heart |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m Your Man |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kick a Buck |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gorilla Trek |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thick as Thieves |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stradivarian |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Coppermaster |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Drip d’Oro |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kenmore West |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highland Creek |
1.20 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brittany’s Dream |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ballinonabudjet |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dude Drop Kid |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunday Breeze |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Duvee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Fiesty Fist |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Autism Community |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Gal |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aunt Becca |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
For Love and Honor |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paint Me Perfect |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Past Tense |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Therearenorules |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Basking |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sabalenka |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
I Had That One Too |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sandra D |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Broughty Ferry |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gem Buoy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Le Monstre Rapide |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Givemeasecond |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Causeway Benny |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Pal Sweet |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Native Star |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Razor Crest |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reddingandlee |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flash N Class |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Poppa Magic |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sabertooth |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Foligno |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Redacted |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Susan’s Boy |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Todo Men |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Special Awakening |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mischievous Smile |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vekoma Kid |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dr. Niko |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tempus Volat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
The Commack Kid |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Drama Queenie |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Country |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Onehellofabirthday |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Acesanddiamonds |
4.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Krafty Taffy |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twiddly |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chuchi |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Romona’sdream |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Easton’s Moon |
20.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Risky Secret |
10.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sacred Vow |
15.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kasens Tribe |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dose of Reality |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Native Catalina |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.