Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Native Runner 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Magnum Force 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Infinite Luck 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Consecrated 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Golden Ice 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Love Pack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gift Giver 0 0-1
Deal Em Justice 0 0-1
1 1 Josh G 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gift Giver 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Night Stick 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Deal Em Justice 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jacque Couteau 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gabbys Bling 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Maybe Eye’ll Call 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guile 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Whole Lotta Lute 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Malibu Rain 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Moonovermontgomery 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kee Jee 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Country Cut 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Joeybones 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Kingscote 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sabi 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 My Boy Tony 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Optimus Kat 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Lucky Romance 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Baltimore Heart 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 I’m Your Man 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kick a Buck 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Gorilla Trek 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Thick as Thieves 12.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Stradivarian 12.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Coppermaster 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Drip d’Oro 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kenmore West 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Highland Creek 1.20 2.2 4-1
7 7 Brittany’s Dream 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ballinonabudjet 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dude Drop Kid 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sunday Breeze 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Duvee 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fiesty Fist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Autism Community 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ghostly Gal 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Aunt Becca 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 For Love and Honor 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Paint Me Perfect 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Past Tense 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Therearenorules 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Just Basking 2.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Sabalenka 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 I Had That One Too 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sandra D 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Broughty Ferry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gem Buoy 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Le Monstre Rapide 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Givemeasecond 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Causeway Benny 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 My Pal Sweet 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Native Star 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Razor Crest 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Reddingandlee 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Flash N Class 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Poppa Magic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sabertooth 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Foligno 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Redacted 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Susan’s Boy 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Todo Men 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Special Awakening 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Mischievous Smile 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Vekoma Kid 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Dr. Niko 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Tempus Volat 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The Commack Kid 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Drama Queenie 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Diamond Country 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Onehellofabirthday 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Acesanddiamonds 4.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Krafty Taffy 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Twiddly 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Chuchi 6.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Romona’sdream 20.00 10 19-1
2 2 Easton’s Moon 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Risky Secret 10.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Sacred Vow 15.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Kasens Tribe 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dose of Reality 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Native Catalina 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.