Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, March 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Canani 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Just a Graze 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Spectacular Tiger 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miss Jo’s Curlin 1.40 2.9 5-1
6 6 Papa Love’s Vegas 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Razen the Stakes 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swift Stephan 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 A Kitten for Sue 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tiz’s Harbor 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 El Diamante Negro 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Captain Willis 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 El Maga 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Certitude (FR) 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Yellow Sun Dress 1.40 1.3 2-1
2 2 Headed for Om 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Activated (IRE) 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Princess Midnight 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jai Ho 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dixie Allure 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Renatus 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Siempre Naman 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tropical Rain Day 1.40 5.4 10-1
6 6 Saint Shelia 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Kapalua Ride 5.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Lucky Nea 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 J and M Express 1.50 1 2-1
2 2 Smiling Lady 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Super Ellie 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Poker Alice 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shanghai Mist 15.00 5 10-1
6 6 Chamaville 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princess Hekawi 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Crystal Proof 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lady’s Sermon 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Irish Prancer 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Honorable Gal 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Perfect in Gray 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lion’s Lair 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 La Popis 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Topanticipation (GB) 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 A Crown for Kitten 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Your Royal Flyness 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Starship Defiant 1.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sareeha (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Sun Of Hill (BRZ) 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Raw Ability (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sakura Blossom 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Do It Divi 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Kitty Kitana (GB) 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rosie Tinkerbell 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Care for Autism 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Autism Inspiration 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Robin’s Tough Love 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Full Moon Grazen 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Rythem Girl 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sensational Z Z 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Katerini 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Big Mama Sue 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Tiergarten 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Beau Soleil 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Red Diamond 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Highlands 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Madeira Wine 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.