Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ash Wednesday | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daring Hope | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Lily | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Harbor | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kazillion | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lynna | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Bride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Andthistoowillpass | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mia Antonia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chapellete | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace and Mercy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Wine | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Idea | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beat the Double | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Attila the Spun | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broke Draw | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Cane Gal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skip the Line | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Skip the Line | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Sam | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Keep Him | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B Wayne | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Cupid | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy’s Got Issues | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Numero Siete | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cesnola | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Right Spot | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avery’s Gem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malaki Empire | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Cadillac | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patek | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Jackpot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Achromedoutcat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party At Jays | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Ronnie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petitfor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goldzone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deroutante | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pat Hand Girl | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Hey Daddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ours and Theirs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Grace Hazel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jus Evelyn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Visionista | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Front and Silver | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Walksonwater | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sacred Saint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Back Street Baby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Emilyhasherturn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Araratta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Modo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stable Currency | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Awe of Juju | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gerlin’s Empire | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pondering | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Studio Hall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Next Level | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Funnyflame | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rampagius | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warhol | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thermoscat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battleoflexington | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justin’s Legacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sand Pipes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Furio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hard Four | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creole Charlie | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flower Cat | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai’s Grandson | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Leo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Risky Priority | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bind Faith | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Runner | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bouldering | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Ransom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Order Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chad’s Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.