Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dark Devil 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 True Connection 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Golden Symphony 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Neon Bordeaux 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Secured Lender 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Fly’n Frisbee 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bobby Bob 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Henry’s Hope 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Stormin Sammy 1.20 1.9 4-1
6 6 Man From Malta 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ready Set Twirl 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Call Me Calvin 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 D’s a Rock 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 April Storm 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Valtellina 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Idyll Gossip 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Army Gal 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Sturdy 1.40 1 2-1
3 2 Cuando 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 6 Badge of War 2.00 4.2 8-1
1A 7 Scottish Storm 2.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Good as He Gets 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Egypt 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Timing Difference 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prove Worthy 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Strapped 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 The King Cheek 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Jackson Heights 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Winnin’onweekends 1.00 5 9-1
6 6 Portos 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Arwen 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Majulu 1.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mo Damorninggrouch 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Alley’s Song 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Sheza Bernardini 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Troubled Luck 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 That’sthefactjack 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Big Hazel 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dolomite 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Khali Magic 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 P Mutter Pickle 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Fast and Frisky 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Jackson’s Dixie 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Racing Colors 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bernt Again 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Krystalheir 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Land d’Oro 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mighty Atlas 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Quick to Accuse 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dr. Kraft 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lotsa Trouble 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Neural Network 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Amedeus Music 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Hagrid’s Flame 8.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Sundaeswithsandy 8.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.